Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	18:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 11
Czech Republic	17:00	Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	18:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	17:00	Eurosport 2
Germany	17:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	17:00	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	17:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	18:00	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	16:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.16	5.75
	1.14	5.8	Watch
	1.17	6.22
	1.15	5.71	Watch
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.12)	5.85 ↓ (6.02)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
83.6%

Casper Ruud
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

84.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Ruud will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 64.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 2nd Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Ruud is ranked ATP: 25.

Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Roma
16.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Roma
15.05.26	Casper Ruud - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Casper Ruud - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Casper Ruud - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
15.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud	2:0
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
10.01.24	Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Vienna
29.10.21	Casper Ruud - Jannik Sinner	0:2
28.10.20	Casper Ruud - Jannik Sinner	0:2

Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud