Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Jordan Thompson		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.39	3	Watch
	1.46	3.01
	2.66	1.48	Watch
	1.4	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.43)	2.69 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
61.8%

August Holmgren
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Holmgren will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Holmgren (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Jordan Thompson (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 3 - 75%). Holmgren (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 78. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 176.

Recent form of Jordan Thompson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Holmgren has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jordan Thompson is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL
- August Holmgren
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	August Holmgren - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP San Diego
25.09.21	Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren	0:2

Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide