Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday


	Tomas Machac		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.75
	1.45	2.58
	1.4	2.9
	1.48	2.67	Watch
	1.43	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
65.6%

Francis Tiafoe
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tomas Machac - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac Tomas - withdrawn.

Machac is ranked ATP: 21. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17.

Machac is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik	Mensik J. walkover ✺
24.03.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?WW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
06.04.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Machac	0:3
ATP United Cup
29.12.22	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired

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