Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Liam Draxl		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.73	2.00
	1.75	2.00
	1.74	2.04
	1.81	2.08
	1.76	2.07	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
54%

Tristan Schoolkate
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Liam Draxl - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 217. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 180.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Liam Draxl - Andrew Johnson	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Liam Draxl - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Liam Draxl - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Jack Secord - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Liam Draxl - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide