Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.18	1.61
	2.35	1.62
	2.27	1.60	Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	1.61 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
41.8%

Sumit Nagal
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 209. Nagal is ranked ATP: 287.

Giustino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nagal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.1%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?LWLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal	1:2
20.09.21	Sumit Nagal - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2

Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide