Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Marco Trungelliti		Borna Gojo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.88	2.05
	1.87	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)	1.94 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
51.3%

Borna Gojo
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Gojo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Gojo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Marco Trungelliti - Borna Gojo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gojo will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gojo: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%). Gojo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 79. Gojo is ranked ATP: 137.

Trungelliti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gojo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gojo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLW
- Borna Gojo
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Borna Gojo - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
28.03.26	Borna Gojo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Borna Gojo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWWW

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