Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Belgrade 2 (Serbia), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.57
	2.46	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
38.7%

Jiri Lehecka
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marin Cilic's performance.

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiri Lehecka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiri Lehecka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Marin Cilic - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lehecka will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 196. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 31.

Cilic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lehecka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lehecka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Belgrade 2
04.11.24	Marin Cilic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Arthur Fils - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Marin Cilic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Marin Cilic - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Jack Draper - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Marcos Giron - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW

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