Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday


	Arthur Fils		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.27	3.8	Watch
	1.3	3.81
	1.29	3.77	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.65	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.47)	3.74 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
74.5%

Marin Cilic
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marin Cilic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Arthur Fils - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 20. Cilic is ranked ATP: 202.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fils is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Basel
26.10.24	Ben Shelton - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Arthur Fils - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Marin Cilic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Marin Cilic - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWW

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