Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finalsDate: 26 August 2025, TuesdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Marton Fucsovics |
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Denis Shapovalov |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marton Fucsovics
47.9% | Denis Shapovalov
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Shapovalov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov Predictions
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 37 - 90.2%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fucsovics: 81.1% – 99.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5 Sets - Fucsovics (5.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 Games - Fucsovics (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marton Fucsovics will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 29 - 96.7%). Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3 
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Preview
Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 94. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.Fucsovics is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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