Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Miguel Tobon		Facundo Mena

	1	2
			Watch
	2.36	1.53	Watch
	2.61	1.52
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.36)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
38.8%

Facundo Mena
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Miguel Tobon - Facundo Mena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 501. Mena is ranked ATP: 296.

Tobon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mena is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mena could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Miguel Tobon - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Tibo Colson - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Andrew Fenty - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Rafael De Alba - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Mena	Varillas J. P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
07.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL??L

Miguel Tobon - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide