Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.8%

Valentin Royer
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Royer will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Carreno Busta (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Royer (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 66. Royer is ranked ATP: 78.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Matej Dodig - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Alex Molcan - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Valentin Royer - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Valentin Royer - Olle Wallin	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Valentin Royer - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Valentin Royer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled

Upcoming Matches