Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Pavel Kotov		Andrea Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.65
	1.46	2.84
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.71 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
65.3%

Andrea Arnaboldi
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Pavel Kotov - Andrea Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
11.12.21	Vitaliy Sachko - Pavel Kotov	Sachko V. retired ✺
10.12.21	Pavel Kotov - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
09.12.21	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
02.12.21	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WWWL
- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
11.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
10.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Michail Pervolarakis	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
07.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Raul Brancaccio	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
30.11.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Pavel Kotov	0:2
15.01.19	Pavel Kotov - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0

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