Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	4.3	1.21	Watch
	5.12	1.2
	4.68	1.18	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	4.32	1.22	Watch
	4.3	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (2.75)	1.23 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
22.3%

Francisco Cerundolo
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francisco Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pedro Martinez Portero - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Cerundolo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 49. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 18.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerundolo is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Mattia Bellucci - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWL?L
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0
ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2
ATP London
14.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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