Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Rei Sakamoto		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.15	1.36
	3.08	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.36
	3.17	1.38	Watch
	3.20	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
30.2%

Andrey Rublev
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 137., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 24..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Sakamoto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rublev for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Seong Chan Hong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Watt - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWL?
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
29.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide