Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rei Sakamoto		Andrey Rublev

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Rei Sakamoto
29.2%

Andrey Rublev
70.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 137., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 23..

Sakamoto is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rublev has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sakamoto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rublev for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sakamoto has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Seong Chan Hong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Watt - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWL?
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
29.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev