Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Belgrade 2 (Serbia), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Roman Safiullin		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.22	4.33
	1.25	3.9
	1.22	4.1	Watch
	1.27	4.09
	1.26	4.01	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4.01	Watch
	1.22	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.76)	4.07 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
76.6%

Fabio Fognini
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabio Fognini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 59. Fognini is ranked ATP: 77.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Safiullin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
19.10.24	Henry Bernet - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	2:1
ATP Basel
22.10.22	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	Canceled

Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide