Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Roman Safiullin		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.98
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.5)	3.62 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
74.1%

Max Houkes
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Houkes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Houkes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Roman Safiullin - Max Houkes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Safiullin (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216. Houkes is ranked ATP: 251.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Safiullin is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Louis Wessels - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWL

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