Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Sebastian Baez		Marton Fucsovics

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.13	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
54.5%

Marton Fucsovics
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	0%	37.9%

Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Fucsovics will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Fucsovics (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fucsovics (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Fucsovics (votes: 7 - 38.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 36. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fucsovics is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fucsovics could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bucharest
04.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
02.03.25	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL
- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Bucharest
04.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Luca Nardi - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
23.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0

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