What is the expert prediction for Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Sebastian Ofner		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.58	2.52
	1.49	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.53	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	2.45 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
61.3%

Alex Michelsen
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	0%	19.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 82. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 42.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Ofner - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	1:2
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

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