Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Final

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.54	1.55
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
39.1%

Marin Cilic
60.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 164. Cilic is ranked ATP: 101.

Mochizuki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cilic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cilic might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Jaime Faria - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
19.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Marin Cilic	Harris L. retired ✺
16.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?WL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Marin Cilic

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Shintaro Mochizuki - Marin Cilic Predictions

Preview

Form

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