Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Sebastian Ofner		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.6
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
72%

Timofey Skatov
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Skatov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Skatov is ranked ATP: 195.

Ofner is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Skatov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.21	Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide