Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Amazon Prime Video


	Tommy Paul		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.66
	1.56	2.58	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	2.6 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
63.3%

Alexander Bublik
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Tommy Paul - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Paul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bublik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Tommy Paul - Otto Virtanen	3:2 ✺
01.07.24	Tommy Paul - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Billy Harris - Tommy Paul	Canceled ✺
ATP London
23.06.24	Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW?WW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
01.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.24	Christopher Eubanks - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Max Purcell - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
04.03.21	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	1:2
ATP Hamburg
20.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP London
16.06.19	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Challenger
31.12.18	Tommy Paul - Alexander Bublik	2:1

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