Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Tommy Paul		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
65.4%

Daniel Vallejo
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tommy Paul (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 17., and Vallejo is ranked ATP: 52..

In recent outings, Paul has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vallejo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Paul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paul is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paul has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Tokyo
29.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:1
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Tommy Paul	1:2

Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide