Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Yibing Wu		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.09	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.9)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
45.9%

Fabian Marozsan
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yibing Wu - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Marozsan will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Marozsan (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Wu (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Marozsan (votes: 13 - 76.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 181. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 54.

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Ugo Humbert - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Yibing Wu - Dalibor Svrcina	Wu Y. retired ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.25	Alexander Bublik - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Yibing Wu - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WW?LW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Reilly Opelka - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LLWW

Yibing Wu - Fabian Marozsan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide