Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.73	2.07	Watch
	1.79	2.12
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.45)	2.09 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
54.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Zhang (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Zhang (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zhizhen Zhang will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 319. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.

Zhang has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Carballes Baena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Zhang will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zhang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Pavle Marinkov - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Doha
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.05.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide