Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: NRG Stadium (Houston)


	Houston Texans		Washington Commanders

	1	2
	2.45	1.6	Watch
	2.4	1.59
	2.44	1.61
	2.41	1.58
	2.47	1.61
	2.5	1.59	Watch
	2.26	1.66
	2.29	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (KRIV - Houston, TX)

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Current Win Probability

Houston Texans
39.9%

Washington Commanders
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Texans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Commanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Houston Texans - Washington Commanders Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Washington will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).

Houston has currently - 1-7-1, has a very small chance of playoffs (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win division (<0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Washington has currently - 5-5, has a chance of playoffs (37%), has a very small chance of win division (0.6%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has very small quality 5, small importance 22, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Houston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Washington is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Washington will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Washington to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Houston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 40-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Texans
NFL
13.11.22	New York Giants - Houston Texans	24:16 ✺
03.11.22	Houston Texans - Philadelphia Eagles	17:29 ✺
30.10.22	Houston Texans - Tennessee Titans	10:17 ✺
23.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	38:20 ✺
09.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	6:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW
- Washington Commanders
NFL
14.11.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Washington Commanders	21:32 ✺
06.11.22	Washington Commanders - Minnesota Vikings	17:20 ✺
30.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Washington Commanders	16:17 ✺
23.10.22	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	23:21 ✺
13.10.22	Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders	7:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
18.11.18	Washington Commanders - Houston Texans	21:23
07.09.14	Houston Texans - Washington Commanders	17:6

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