Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	New York Jets		Jacksonville Jaguars

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.72	2.22
	1.7	2.16
	1.75	2.21
	1.71	2.2
	1.73	2.15
	1.65	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	2.17 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Local Networks Only (TBD Affiliates)

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Current Win Probability

New York Jets
55.9%

Jacksonville Jaguars
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jacksonville Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Jets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacksonville Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	0%	71.9%

New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. NY Jets will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Jacksonville will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacksonville: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:17

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

NY Jets has currently - 7-7, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.

Jacksonville has currently - 6-8, has a good chance of playoffs (54%), has a good chance of win division (54%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has quality 32, big importance 84, match rating 58. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Jets won 3.

NY Jets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jacksonville is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches NY Jets won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 175-160.

Including matches at home between the teams NY Jets won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 131-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Jets
NFL
18.12.22	New York Jets - Detroit Lions	17:20 ✺
11.12.22	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	20:12 ✺
04.12.22	Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets	27:22 ✺
27.11.22	New York Jets - Chicago Bears	31:10 ✺
20.11.22	New England Patriots - New York Jets	10:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
18.12.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Dallas Cowboys	40:34 OT ✺
11.12.22	Tennessee Titans - Jacksonville Jaguars	22:36 ✺
04.12.22	Detroit Lions - Jacksonville Jaguars	40:14 ✺
27.11.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Baltimore Ravens	28:27 ✺
13.11.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.12.21	New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars	26:21
27.10.19	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Jets	29:15
30.09.18	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Jets	31:12
01.10.17	New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars	23:20 OT
11.08.16	New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:13
08.11.15	New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:23
17.08.13	New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars	37:13

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