Match Info
AFL - Round 3Date: 27 March 2026, FridayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL |
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St Kilda Saints |
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Brisbane Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.4 |
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1.58 |
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2.35 |
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1.52 |
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Watch |
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2.5 |
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1.47 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.6) |
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1.52 ↑ (1.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 187.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints 38.7% | Brisbane Lions 61.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:100 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (13 - 5)
- 00:11, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 03:38, Flanders S. (Behind),
- 05:17, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 06:10, Hall M. (Behind),
- 07:20, Allen O. (Behind),
- 08:27, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 13:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:08, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:42, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 19:14, Hall M. (Behind),
- 20:08, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 20:46, Ryan L. (G),
- 22:22, Owens M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (26 - 26)
- 03:59, Morris L. (G),
- 08:49, Allen O. (G),
- 09:53, Wood M. (Behind),
- 10:36, Sharman C. (G),
- 13:01, McCarthy L. (Behind),
- 15:33, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 16:59, Allen O. (G),
- 19:56, Sharman C. (G),
- 23:35, Lester R. (G),
- 24:41, McCarthy L. (Behind),
- 25:30, Ryan L. (G),
- 29:17, Ryan L. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (27 - 37)
- 00:50, Cameron C. (G),
- 02:24, Higgins J. (G),
- 04:08, Rayner C. (G),
- 05:58, Berry J. (G),
- 09:04, Reville B. (Behind),
- 11:02, Bailey Z. (G),
- 12:38, Owens M. (G),
- 16:12, Sharman C. (G),
- 18:19, Morris L. (G),
- 21:13, Owens M. (Behind),
- 26:34, Tauru A. (Behind),
- 30:00, McCarthy L. (G),
- 31:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 35:38, Tauru A. (G),
- 4th Quarter (14 - 45)
- 03:55, Lohmann K. (G),
- 06:24, Higgins J. (G),
- 07:46, Owens M. (G),
- 09:42, Bailey Z. (G),
- 13:43, Coleman K. (G),
- 15:22, Fletcher J. (G),
- 18:22, Rayner C. (G),
- 19:31, Cameron C. (G),
- 21:58, Reville B. (Behind),
- 25:34, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:57, Lohmann K. (G),
- 27:20, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 29:33, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 30:58, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 0.Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Brisbane is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1353:1506. (average 71.2:79.3).Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 747:865. (average 83:96.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 25.04.25 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 73:118 | | 04.08.24 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 39:124 | | 14.06.24 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 126:106 | | 26.08.23 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 72:60 | | 23.06.23 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 56:84 | | 12.08.22 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 66:81 | | 11.06.22 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 78:57 |
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