Match Info
AFL - Round 22Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy, Nine |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 6 |
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Adelaide Crows |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.04 |
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11 |
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 |
1.02 |
100.00 |
9.00 |
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 Watch |
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1.01 |
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12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.02 ↓
(1.03) |
33.33
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10.67 ↓
(12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-58)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows
88.8% | Draw
2.7% | Richmond Tigers
8.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 108:50 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (9 - 14)
- 04:39, Hotton T. (Behind),
- 06:49, Walker T. (Behind),
- 09:46, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 11:54, Walker T. (G),
- 15:08, Lefau M. (G),
- 19:38, Green S. (Behind),
- 22:00, Ludowyke A. (Behind),
- 26:23, Lefau M. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (20 - 14)
- 00:47, Cumming I. (G),
- 04:07, Cook B. (G),
- 12:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:13, Dawson J. (G),
- 16:41, Peatling J. (Behind),
- 18:33, Curtin D. (Behind),
- 24:45, Green S. (G),
- 27:37, Campbell S. (G),
- 29:24, Brown T. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 17)
- 03:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:04, Campbell S. (G),
- 07:16, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 08:33, Campbell S. (G),
- 09:49, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:35, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 12:20, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 15:15, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 21:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:22, Rankine I. (G),
- 28:10, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 30:32, Clarke J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (14 - 9)
- 02:35, Walker T. (G),
- 06:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:37, Ralphsmith H. (G),
- 12:56, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 14:47, Dawson J. (Behind),
- 24:17, Brown T. (Behind),
- 26:13, Taylor Z. (G),
- 29:45, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.Adelaide is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Richmond is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Adelaide is the undeniable favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1489:1422. (average 82.7:79).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 857:799. (average 77.9:72.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 10.05.26 | Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows | 61:98 | | 29.06.25 | Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows | 54:122 | | 06.06.24 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 71:79 | | 25.03.23 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 76:108 | | 16.04.22 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 101:82 | | 30.05.21 | Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows | 111:83 | | 19.09.20 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 33:77 |
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