Match Info
AFL - Round 10Date: 18 May 2025, SundayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Sports 503, Seven Network |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
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Brisbane Lions |
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Melbourne Demons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.14 |
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5.75 |
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 |
1.15 |
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4.6 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.17 |
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4.5 |
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1.13 |
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5.39 |
Watch |
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1.15 |
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4.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.15 ↓
(1.19) |
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4.97 ↑
(4.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 180.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-34)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions
81.2% | Melbourne Demons
18.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 107:73 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (39 - 22)
- 00:57, Melksham J. (G),
- 02:21, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 02:38, Fletcher J. (G),
- 07:21, Petty H. (Behind),
- 09:12, McCluggage H. (G),
- 10:53, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 12:37, Pickett K. (G),
- 16:19, Andrews H. (Behind),
- 16:59, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:32, McDonald T. (G),
- 21:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:24, Morris L. (G),
- 26:14, Morris L. (G),
- 27:43, Zorko D. (Behind),
- 30:04, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 31:04, Hipwood E. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 20)
- 00:42, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 01:22, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 02:48, Gardiner D. (G),
- 06:37, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 10:50, Melksham J. (G),
- 14:06, Chandler K. (G),
- 15:27, Rivers T. (Behind),
- 18:07, Gardiner D. (G),
- 19:22, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 20:34, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 28:59, Rivers T. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (26 - 25)
- 01:03, Morris L. (G),
- 05:36, Sparrow T. (G),
- 09:12, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 10:02, Pickett K. (G),
- 12:07, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 15:59, Gardiner D. (G),
- 18:03, Morris L. (Behind),
- 20:02, Bailey Z. (G),
- 22:41, Oliver C. (G),
- 26:12, Melksham J. (G),
- 30:38, Gardiner D. (G),
- 4th Quarter (7 - 32)
- 00:28, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 01:31, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 05:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:17, Melksham J. (G),
- 10:56, Fritsch B. (G),
- 13:04, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 14:20, Petty H. (Behind),
- 15:03, Johnson A. (G),
- 17:20, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 19:10, Langdon E. (G),
- 20:22, Lindsay X. (Behind),
- 21:07, McKenna C. (G),
- 28:38, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 29:50, Pickett K. (Behind),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.Brisbane is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Melbourne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Melbourne has had a series of home games. In this match, Brisbane is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1525:1664. (average 76.3:83.2).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 539:546. (average 77:78).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 28.06.24 | Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons | 86:81 | | 11.04.24 | Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions | 60:82 | | 14.07.23 | Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions | 105:104 | | 24.03.23 | Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons | 93:82 | | 09.09.22 | Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions | 79:92 | | 19.08.22 | Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons | 57:115 | | 23.06.22 | Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions | 117:53 |
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