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Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons 39.3%
Fremantle Dockers 60.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
63.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Fremantle Dockers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Fremantle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:93
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (32 - 32)
02:21, Voss P. (G),
03:25, Sparrow T. (G),
05:47, Fritsch B. (Behind),
07:26, Bolton S. (Behind),
08:04, Dudley I. (G),
09:55, Voss P. (G),
12:25, Amiss J. (G),
15:06, Chandler K. (G),
16:39, Laurie B. (G),
18:34, Laurie B. (G),
21:20, Pickett K. (G),
23:55, Switkowski S. (G),
25:30, Sharp H. (Behind),
26:44, Treacy J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (33 - 36)
00:57, Treacy J. (G),
03:30, Voss P. (G),
07:00, Amiss J. (G),
08:04, Pickett K. (Behind),
09:57, Petty H. (G),
11:10, Sharp H. (G),
15:32, Fritsch B. (G),
16:51, Bowey J. (G),
20:49, Rivers T. (Behind),
24:30, Amiss J. (G),
25:47, Laurie B. (G),
27:25, Treacy J. (G),
29:05, Petty H. (Behind),
31:50, Voss P. (G),
3rd Quarter (15 - 20)
01:44, Fritsch B. (Behind),
04:25, Sparrow T. (G),
07:03, Sharp H. (G),
08:57, Bolton S. (G),
10:31, Amiss J. (G),
15:35, Treacy J. (Behind),
18:46, Amiss J. (G),
22:40, Laurie B. (Behind),
24:32, Switkowski S. (Behind),
26:11, Fritsch B. (Behind),
4th Quarter (33 - 21)
01:44, Johnson M. (G),
07:39, Petty H. (G),
09:30, Dudley I. (Behind),
10:38, O'Driscoll N. (G),
13:08, Pickett K. (G),
15:30, Petty H. (G),
17:12, Dudley I. (G),
18:50, Frederick M. (Behind),
19:28, Sharp H. (G),
20:43, Fritsch B. (G),
21:51, Fritsch B. (Behind),
23:58, Petty H. (Behind),
25:16, (Behind Rushed),
30:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Fremantle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Fremantle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1345:1825. (average 67.3:91.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 897:1144. (average 69:88).
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