Match Info
AFL - Round 20Date: 25 July 2025, FridayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
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Essendon Bombers |
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Western Bulldogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
13 |
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1.04 |
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 |
7.4 |
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1.04 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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9 |
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1.05 |
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 |
9 |
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1.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.6 ↑
(8.75) |
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1.05 ↓
(1.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 177.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-54)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Essendon Bombers
9.8% | Western Bulldogs
90.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 62:116 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (14 - 41)
- 00:45, Naughton A. (G),
- 03:07, Naughton A. (G),
- 05:11, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 09:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:49, Clarke A. (Behind),
- 10:45, Darcy S. (G),
- 13:14, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 14:29, Richards E. (G),
- 16:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:28, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 20:40, McMahon L. (G),
- 23:08, Darcy S. (G),
- 25:32, Wright P. (Behind),
- 26:12, West R. (Behind),
- 30:02, McMahon L. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (3 - 24)
- 01:53, Darcy S. (G),
- 04:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:45, Sanders R. (G),
- 15:42, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 22:51, Naughton A. (G),
- 24:29, Darcy S. (G),
- 26:16, Smartt O. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (13 - 44)
- 02:40, Naughton A. (G),
- 05:22, West R. (G),
- 06:35, Kako I. (G),
- 10:04, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 14:19, West R. (G),
- 16:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:02, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 19:39, Naughton A. (G),
- 22:22, Caddy N. (G),
- 26:33, Darcy S. (G),
- 28:55, Poulter C. (G),
- 31:06, Naughton A. (G),
- 4th Quarter (20 - 34)
- 02:56, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 04:42, Wright P. (G),
- 07:04, Smartt O. (Behind),
- 08:31, Wright P. (G),
- 10:14, West R. (Behind),
- 12:35, Naughton A. (G),
- 16:13, Durham S. (Behind),
- 19:02, West R. (Behind),
- 19:48, Dale B. (Behind),
- 22:02, Darcy S. (G),
- 26:36, Perkins A. (G),
- 27:45, Richards E. (G),
- 29:39, West R. (G),
- 32:16, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.Essendon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Western has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Western is the obvious favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1037:1486. (average 64.8:92.9).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 299:605. (average 42.7:86.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 17.05.25 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 127:36 | | 12.04.24 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 67:96 | | 21.07.23 | Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs | 49:90 | | 01.05.22 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 103:71 | | 29.08.21 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 85:36 | | 08.08.21 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 84:97 | | 17.07.20 | Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs | 51:93 |
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