Match Info
AFL - Round 5Date: 11 April 2025, FridayLocation: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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Sydney Swans |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.22 |
|
 |
1.65 |
|
2.08 |
|
 |
1.75 |
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2.03 |
|
 |
1.67 |
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2.1 |
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 |
1.73 |
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2.1 |
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 |
1.65 |
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2.08 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.63) |
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2.1 ↓
(2.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
Watch this match and AFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX Sports 2#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collingwood Magpies
55.4% | Sydney Swans
44.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (27 - 25)
- 00:59, Hill B. (G),
- 02:58, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 03:53, Heeney I. (G),
- 07:14, Hanily T. (G),
- 09:43, Campbell B. (G),
- 11:24, Mihocek B. (G),
- 13:57, McCreery B. (G),
- 17:37, Crisp J. (Behind),
- 18:30, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 21:40, Elliott J. (Behind),
- 24:01, McStay D. (G),
- 26:46, McLean H. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (40 - 25)
- 01:12, Crisp J. (G),
- 03:42, Hanily T. (G),
- 05:21, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
- 06:44, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 08:12, Mihocek B. (G),
- 09:42, Warner C. (Behind),
- 10:24, Sullivan L. (G),
- 11:47, Hill B. (G),
- 13:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:38, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 17:53, Warner C. (G),
- 20:52, Hayward W. (G),
- 27:41, McLean H. (G),
- 32:19, Elliott J. (G),
- 34:46, Cameron D. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 14)
- 00:49, (Behind Rushed),
- 01:41, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 02:55, Elliott J. (Behind),
- 07:12, Membrey T. (G),
- 11:31, Elliott J. (G),
- 13:56, Perryman H. (Behind),
- 18:37, Heeney I. (G),
- 19:57, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 20:32, McCreery B. (G),
- 23:53, McLean H. (G),
- 26:39, Lloyd J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (20 - 14)
- 07:26, Hill B. (Behind),
- 09:03, Elliott J. (G),
- 11:02, Mihocek B. (G),
- 15:11, Ladhams P. (Behind),
- 16:08, Campbell B. (Behind),
- 17:43, Warner C. (G),
- 23:32, Hill B. (G),
- 28:09, Sheldrick A. (G),
- 29:58, Membrey T. (Behind),
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9).Last 5 head-to-head matches Collingwood won 2. Collingwood is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Sydney is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Sydney could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match. Our prediction for today's Collingwood to win the game is with odds 1.7.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Collingwood won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1140:1277 (average 67.1:75.1). Including matches at home between the teams Collingwood won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 251:293 (average 62.8:73.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 09.08.24 | Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies | 59:84 | | 15.03.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans | 69:102 | | 07.05.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans | 77:48 | | 17.09.22 | Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies | 95:94 | | 14.08.22 | Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies | 77:50 | | 14.05.21 | Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies | 72:42 | | 06.08.20 | Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans | 50:41 |
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