Match Info
AUSTRALIA: AFLDate: 7 March 2025, FridayLocation: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
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Sydney Swans |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2 |
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1.85 |
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1.89 |
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1.79 |
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1.84 |
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1.92 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
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1.8 |
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1.93 |
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1.82 |
Watch |
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1.89 |
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1.79 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.8) |
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1.83 ↓ (1.94) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 168.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

Watch this match and AFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX Sports 2#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans 48.9% | Hawthorn Hawks 51.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sydney Swans will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (27 - 33)
- 00:41, Amon K. (Behind),
- 03:08, Moore D. (Behind),
- 04:03, Warner C. (G),
- 06:10, Amartey J. (G),
- 07:38, Moore D. (G),
- 11:26, Meek L. (G),
- 14:29, Adams T. (G),
- 16:14, Newcombe J. (G),
- 19:32, Papley T. (G),
- 22:32, Florent O. (Behind),
- 25:24, Moore D. (G),
- 27:10, McCartin T. (Behind),
- 29:06, Worpel J. (Behind),
- 30:12, Day W. (G),
- 31:49, Papley T. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 27)
- 03:25, Maginness F. (Behind),
- 06:40, Amartey J. (G),
- 11:15, Amon K. (G),
- 13:04, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 16:41, Day W. (G),
- 21:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:41, Meek L. (G),
- 26:42, Day W. (G),
- 28:29, Rowbottom J. (G),
- 31:10, Battle J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (31 - 16)
- 00:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:29, Chol M. (G),
- 04:15, Amartey J. (G),
- 06:03, McInerney J. (Behind),
- 07:55, Warner C. (G),
- 11:58, McCartin T. (G),
- 14:44, Hayward W. (G),
- 16:16, Amon K. (Behind),
- 21:47, Nash C. (G),
- 25:31, Blakey N. (G),
- 27:22, Maginness F. (Behind),
- 29:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (5 - 20)
- 01:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:14, Maginness F. (G),
- 03:24, Amartey J. (Behind),
- 04:40, Warner C. (Behind),
- 05:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:20, Macdonald C. (G),
- 20:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:13, Sicily J. (G),
- 27:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:18, Florent O. (Behind),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 4. Hawthorn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sydney won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1609:1669 (average 80.5:83.5). Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 868:964 (average 78.9:87.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 28.04.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans | 42:118 | | 25.03.23 | Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks | 118:37 | | 24.04.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Sydney Swans | 68:109 | | 11.06.21 | Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks | 51:89 | | 25.07.20 | Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks | 60:53 | | 21.06.19 | Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks | 82:63 | | 25.08.18 | Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks | 74:83 |
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