Match Info

AFL Women - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Windy Hill (Essendon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+


	Essendon Bombers		Hawthorn Hawks

	1	2
	6.25	1.12
	5.5	1.11
			Watch
	6	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↓ (9.5)	1.12 ↑ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 77.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-23)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
15.9%

Hawthorn Hawks
84.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10%

90%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Essendon Bombers's performance.

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:51

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 10)
2nd Quarter (8 - 12)
3rd Quarter (7 - 21)
4th Quarter (1 - 13)

Preview

Essendon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hawthorn is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hawthorn is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 102:57. (average 51:28.5).

Including home match between the teams, Essendon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
18.10.25	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	16:54 ✺
10.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	67:10 ✺
03.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers	36:22 ✺
26.09.25	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	41:71 ✺
20.09.25	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	56:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
17.10.25	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	94:59 ✺
11.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Gold Coast Suns	60:37 ✺
02.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Fremantle Dockers	33:18 ✺
25.09.25	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	35:42 ✺
19.09.25	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	30:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
02.09.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	30:49
27.08.22	Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks	53:27

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