Match Info

AFL - Round 9

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Optus Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Fremantle Dockers		Collingwood Magpies

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	1.91	1.77
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2	1.8
	1.91	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremantle Dockers
48%

Collingwood Magpies
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Points, OT - Collingwood (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 Points - Collingwood (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Collingwood Magpies will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Collingwood Magpies will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (27 - 32)
00:32, Treacy J. (G),
03:31, Serong C. (Behind),
04:33, Johnson M. (Behind),
05:57, Treacy J. (G),
09:15, Sullivan L. (Behind),
13:08, Dudley I. (G),
14:31, (Behind Rushed),
16:49, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
18:31, Voss P. (G),
19:39, Elliott J. (G),
23:40, Cox M. (G),
26:48, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
28:08, Elliott J. (G),
31:22, Hill B. (G),
2nd Quarter (20 - 25)
03:40, Pearce A. (G),
06:35, (Behind Rushed),
07:50, Johnson M. (Behind),
11:13, Brayshaw A. (G),
15:42, Long N. (G),
17:50, Daicos N. (G),
20:21, Daicos N. (Behind),
25:05, Sharp J. (G),
26:26, Crisp J. (G),
31:56, Elliott J. (G),
3rd Quarter (9 - 14)
01:26, Johnson M. (Behind),
02:36, Hill B. (G),
06:09, Amiss J. (Behind),
08:22, Hill B. (G),
13:57, Membrey T. (Behind),
15:11, Hill B. (Behind),
16:14, Voss P. (G),
21:55, Dudley I. (Behind),
4th Quarter (27 - 26)
00:53, Elliott J. (G),
03:38, Elliott J. (G),
06:31, Switkowski S. (G),
09:28, Elliott J. (Behind),
10:55, Bolton S. (G),
13:07, Reid M. (G),
16:33, Crisp J. (G),
19:07, Dudley I. (Behind),
20:56, Elliott J. (G),
23:45, Elliott J. (Behind),
25:15, (Behind Rushed),
26:08, Amiss J. (Behind),
29:44, Frederick M. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 1.

In recent matches, Fremantle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Collingwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Collingwood has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1209:1342. (average 71.1:78.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fremantle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 683:727. (average 75.9:80.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremantle Dockers
AFL
02.05.25	St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers	94:33 ✺
25.04.25	Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows	85:67 ✺
18.04.25	Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers	107:97 ✺
12.04.25	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	47:108 ✺
06.04.25	Fremantle Dockers - Western Bulldogs	97:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Collingwood Magpies
AFL
03.05.25	Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats	87:90 ✺
25.04.25	Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers	107:66 ✺
17.04.25	Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies	53:105 ✺
11.04.25	Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans	109:78 ✺
03.04.25	Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues	63:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
24.05.24	Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies	75:75
14.07.23	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	113:67
10.09.22	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	79:59
22.05.22	Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies	44:80
25.06.21	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	79:91
02.08.20	Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies	61:49
31.05.19	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	75:79

Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide