The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns 61.1%
Draw 2%
Brisbane Lions 36.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.4%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.
Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Brisbane will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 103:90
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (14 - 27)
01:05, Berry J. (G),
04:39, Morris L. (Behind),
06:09, Cameron C. (G),
08:47, Morris L. (G),
12:01, Morris L. (G),
14:50, Graham W. (Behind),
16:52, King B. (G),
19:12, Dunkley J. (Behind),
21:07, McKenna C. (Behind),
26:49, Andrew M. (G),
28:37, Miller T. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (32 - 35)
01:03, King B. (G),
02:33, (Behind Rushed),
05:59, Gallop T. (Behind),
08:38, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
10:32, Berry J. (Behind),
11:50, Tunstill J. (G),
13:01, Draper S. (G),
14:42, Walter J. (G),
19:21, Draper S. (Behind),
19:59, Rowell M. (G),
21:51, Morris L. (G),
23:10, Morris L. (G),
24:48, Petracca C. (G),
26:34, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
27:48, Morris L. (G),
29:36, King B. (Behind),
32:03, King B. (G),
3rd Quarter (15 - 28)
00:46, Morris L. (Behind),
01:36, King B. (Behind),
07:43, Long B. (G),
09:02, Morris L. (G),
12:21, (Behind Rushed),
13:32, Gallop T. (G),
15:13, Morris L. (Behind),
16:46, McKenna C. (G),
21:37, Walter J. (G),
23:21, Fort D. (G),
25:05, Rioli D. (Behind),
27:44, (Behind Rushed),
28:50, Petracca C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (14 - 16)
04:06, Morris L. (Behind),
05:58, Humphrey B. (Behind),
07:24, Dunkley J. (Behind),
08:46, King B. (G),
13:06, Long B. (G),
16:16, (Behind Rushed),
20:49, Cameron C. (G),
22:37, Morris L. (G),
23:53, Anderson N. (Behind),
28:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Gold Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gold Coast will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1412:1941. (average 70.6:97.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 787:914. (average 78.7:91.4).
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