Match Info
AFL - Round 22Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Manuka Oval (Canberra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
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Greater Western Sydney Giants |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.4 |
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3 |
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1.34 |
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2.95 |
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 Watch |
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1.35 |
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3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.58) |
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3.02 ↑
(2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 142.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Greater Western Sydney Giants
68.9% | Gold Coast Suns
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greater Western Sydney Giants's performance.Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast Suns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greater Western Sydney Giants that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gold Coast Suns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:64 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (16 - 22)
- 00:44, Long B. (Behind),
- 01:35, Gulbin L. (Behind),
- 03:03, King B. (G),
- 04:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:39, Thomas H. (G),
- 14:40, Stringer J. (Behind),
- 15:01, Stringer J. (Behind),
- 16:36, Gruzewski M. (G),
- 19:45, Gulbin L. (G),
- 24:52, Hamilton R. (Behind),
- 26:17, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 28:01, Brown C. (Behind),
- 30:19, Miller T. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (9 - 13)
- 03:24, Briggs K. (Behind),
- 08:15, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:55, Miller T. (G),
- 18:11, Gulbin L. (Behind),
- 19:45, Greene T. (G),
- 25:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:58, Powell W. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (31 - 33)
- 00:51, Lombard L. (G),
- 02:24, Greene T. (G),
- 06:51, Cadman A. (G),
- 08:39, Humphrey B. (G),
- 12:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:27, Brown C. (G),
- 15:36, Cadman A. (G),
- 18:39, King B. (G),
- 20', (Behind Rushed),
- 23:50, Gruzewski M. (G),
- 27:04, Rogers J. (Behind),
- 30:36, Miller T. (G),
- 33:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 34:11, Walter J. (G),
- 4th Quarter (21 - 11)
- 01:40, Thomas H. (Behind),
- 02:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:29, Coniglio S. (G),
- 07:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:47, Humphrey B. (G),
- 11:14, Stringer J. (G),
- 17:34, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 20:49, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:14, Read E. (Behind),
- 23:15, (Behind Rushed),
- 33:33, Brown C. (Behind),
- 34:24, Delana J. (G),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 4.Recent performances by GWS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gold Coast has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, GWS is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, GWS won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2119:1269. (average 106:63.5).Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1454:768. (average 111.8:59.1).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
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| 12 | GWS Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 2073:2095 | 98.95 | 40 |
| 13 | Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 2011:2128 | 94.50 | 36 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 03.05.26 | Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 83:63 | | 15.08.25 | Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 76:111 | | 21.06.25 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns | 106:99 | | 19.07.24 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns | 89:50 | | 06.04.24 | Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 89:117 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 29.02.24 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns | 105:61 | | AFL | | | 22.07.23 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns | 103:63 |
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