The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns 52.5%
Western Bulldogs 47.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.7%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Western will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (8 - 14)
03:24, (Behind Rushed),
04:37, Weightman C. (Behind),
07:49, Humphrey B. (Behind),
10:49, Lombard L. (G),
14:04, Bontempelli M. (G),
17:24, Bontempelli M. (G),
26:13, Davidson S. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (34 - 22)
01:04, Naughton A. (Behind),
03:25, Lombard L. (Behind),
05:28, Kennedy M. (G),
07:09, Dolan J. (Behind),
08:40, Long B. (G),
12:15, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
13:21, Weightman C. (Behind),
16:09, West R. (G),
17:45, Humphrey B. (G),
21:02, King B. (Behind),
22:24, Petracca C. (G),
24:49, King B. (Behind),
25:40, Lombard L. (G),
26:37, Lombard L. (Behind),
28:34, Jones A. (G),
31:36, King B. (G),
3rd Quarter (4 - 33)
01:37, (Behind Rushed),
04:59, Naughton A. (Behind),
07:54, Naughton A. (G),
09:29, Freijah J. (Behind),
13:28, Caleb L. (Behind),
14:52, Richards E. (G),
16:47, Kennedy M. (G),
19:16, Kennedy M. (G),
21:17, Lobb R. (G),
22:46, Lobb R. (Behind),
25:52, Petracca C. (Behind),
28:31, Noble J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (22 - 8)
02:20, King B. (Behind),
04:33, Dolan J. (Behind),
06:30, King B. (Behind),
11:04, Bontempelli M. (G),
14:22, Andrew M. (G),
15:58, Patterson D. (G),
19:57, (Behind Rushed),
25:09, Powell W. (Behind),
27:14, Petracca C. (G),
28:27, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2.
Gold Coast is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Western's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gold Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1318:1541. (average 73.2:85.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 709:647. (average 88.6:80.9).
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