Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL WOMEN - ROUND 8

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network


	Hawthorn Hawks		Richmond Tigers

	1	2
	3.1	1.35
	2.88	1.44
	3.32	1.31
	3.1	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.78)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 77.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawthorn Hawks
30.5%

Richmond Tigers
69.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:45

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Preview

Hawthorn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Richmond is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Richmond will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Richmond to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hawthorn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
14.10.23	Sydney Swans - Hawthorn Hawks	26:40 ✺
07.10.23	St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks	45:36 ✺
01.10.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions	32:59 ✺
22.09.23	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	11:70 ✺
16.09.23	Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks	35:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
14.10.23	Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers	36:53 ✺
08.10.23	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	35:36 ✺
28.09.23	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	30:37 ✺
22.09.23	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	40:47 ✺
15.09.23	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers	34:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
11.09.22	Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks	44:9

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	✺

Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide