The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints 74.8%
North Melbourne Kangaroos 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.6%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Kilda Saints's performance.
North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Melbourne Kangaroos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Melbourne Kangaroos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. North Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:76
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (8 - 22)
01:09, Heath M. (G),
07:09, (Behind Rushed),
08:10, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
09:08, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
10:22, Byrnes R. (Behind),
15:03, Sheezel H. (G),
19:04, Konstanty J. (Behind),
20:58, Sharman C. (Behind),
23:28, Harvey C. (Behind),
28:57, Larkey N. (G),
2nd Quarter (22 - 7)
02:36, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
05:27, Larkey N. (G),
09:26, Higgins J. (G),
15:32, Heath M. (Behind),
18:17, Owens M. (Behind),
20:00, Owens M. (G),
24:18, Banch Z. (Behind),
25:46, (Behind Rushed),
27:21, Marshall R. (G),
3rd Quarter (41 - 19)
00:32, Marshall R. (Behind),
01:35, Sharman C. (G),
02:50, Zurhaar C. (G),
04:59, Larkey N. (G),
07:21, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
09:02, Byrnes R. (G),
10:57, McKercher C. (G),
12:33, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
13:33, (Behind Rushed),
16:56, Hall M. (Behind),
17:29, Boxshall H. (G),
21:38, Higgins J. (G),
24:05, Boxshall H. (Behind),
26:15, Heath M. (G),
27:57, Wood M. (G),
4th Quarter (7 - 21)
01:16, Darling J. (G),
03:25, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
07:11, Wardlaw G. (G),
09:51, (Behind Rushed),
14:48, (Behind Rushed),
24:06, Heath M. (Behind),
25:25, Zurhaar C. (G),
28:59, Hall M. (G),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 5.
St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
North Melbourne is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St Kilda is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1484:1579. (average 74.2:79).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 816:703. (average 81.6:70.3).
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