Match Info

AFL - Round 19

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Sports 505
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Melbourne Demons

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	2.85	1.36
			Watch
	2.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
31.7%

Melbourne Demons
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:100

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (37 - 25)
00:58, Curtis P. (G),
03:05, Pickett K. (G),
04:12, Curtis P. (G),
06:13, Spargo C. (G),
07:53, Simpkin J. (Behind),
14:56, Pickett L. (G),
16:54, Spargo C. (G),
18:31, Darling J. (G),
22:49, Trembath C. (G),
25:12, Jefferson M. (G),
26:54, Jefferson M. (G),
32:32, Gawn M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (7 - 15)
01:42, Sheezel H. (G),
11:39, (Behind Rushed),
13:09, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
19:56, Van Rooyen J. (G),
21:39, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
24:44, Sparrow T. (Behind),
27:04, Pickett L. (G),
3rd Quarter (11 - 30)
00:30, (Behind Rushed),
01:19, Sharp H. (G),
03:04, Pickett K. (Behind),
03:37, Jefferson M. (G),
05:18, O'Sullivan F. (Behind),
09:38, (Behind Rushed),
11:42, Whitlock M. (Behind),
13:00, Larkey N. (Behind),
14:46, Heath M. (Behind),
16:07, Van Rooyen J. (G),
18:11, Goater J. (Behind),
19:35, Darling J. (G),
22:51, Jefferson M. (Behind),
25:10, Tholstrup K. (Behind),
26:02, Jefferson M. (G),
27:28, Goater J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (21 - 22)
00:25, Sparrow T. (G),
08:05, Langford H. (G),
09:24, Pickett K. (Behind),
11:51, Heath M. (G),
15:30, Chandler K. (Behind),
16:47, Sharp H. (Behind),
19:14, Sharp H. (Behind),
20:55, Curtis P. (Behind),
22:08, Simpkin J. (Behind),
24:16, Xerri T. (G),
25:38, Curtis P. (G),
27:24, Whitlock M. (G),
28:41, Larkey N. (Behind),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 1.

Recent performances by North Melbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melbourne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.

We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1662:1731. (average 83.1:86.6).

Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 854:912. (average 77.6:82.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos
AFL
10.07.26	Collingwood Magpies - North Melbourne Kangaroos	89:85 ✺
05.07.26	Port Adelaide Power - North Melbourne Kangaroos	73:52 ✺
28.06.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Essendon Bombers	79:65 ✺
20.06.26	Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	48:73 ✺
13.06.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - West Coast Eagles	74:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Melbourne Demons
AFL
12.07.26	Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers	111:65 ✺
03.07.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	90:125 ✺
19.06.26	Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons	79:62 ✺
12.06.26	Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers	95:50 ✺
08.06.26	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
12.07.25	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	119:83
23.03.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	125:66
22.06.24	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	70:67
05.08.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	71:103
29.04.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	139:49
21.05.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	53:100
01.05.21	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	73:103

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide