The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints 47.6%
Melbourne Demons 52.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (13 - 38)
01:02, Caminiti A. (G),
02:32, Langford H. (G),
05:10, Fritsch B. (G),
10:03, Viney J. (G),
11:35, Lindsay X. (G),
15:27, Sharman C. (Behind),
16:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),
18:28, Fritsch B. (G),
24:05, Fritsch B. (Behind),
25:23, Fritsch B. (G),
29:35, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
2nd Quarter (15 - 20)
02:19, Hill B. (Behind),
03:39, Melksham J. (G),
10:17, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
11:48, Chandler K. (G),
15:34, Rivers T. (Behind),
16:37, Petracca C. (Behind),
17:51, Petracca C. (G),
21:48, Higgins J. (G),
23:37, Clark H. (Behind),
24:55, Tauru A. (G),
3rd Quarter (12 - 28)
03:37, Lindsay X. (G),
05:59, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
08:41, Lindsay X. (Behind),
10:45, Pickett K. (G),
15:05, Melksham J. (G),
17:06, Pickett K. (Behind),
18:07, Higgins J. (G),
21:03, Chandler K. (G),
27:28, (Behind Rushed),
32:45, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (56 - 4)
01:15, Higgins J. (G),
02:51, (Behind Rushed),
03:43, Viney J. (Behind),
05:03, Hill B. (G),
06:16, Sharman C. (G),
09:06, Oliver C. (Behind),
11:09, Melksham J. (Behind),
14:24, Steele J. (G),
16:21, Wood M. (G),
18:07, Wood M. (Behind),
21:45, Sharman C. (G),
22:57, Higgins J. (G),
24:04, (Behind Rushed),
29:50, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
32:38, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.
St Kilda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Melbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Melbourne has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1696:1702. (average 84.8:85.1).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 759:758. (average 84.3:84.2).