Match Info

AFL - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Sydney Swans		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	X	2
	1.75		2.1
	1.90	100.00	1.85
				Watch
	1.2		4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.14)	33.33	2.65 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 188.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-40)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Swans
60.3%

Draw
2.9%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Melbourne Kangaroos's recent form is better than expected.

Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:74

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (27 - 20)
00:46, Cleary C. (G),
03:10, Spargo C. (Behind),
04:58, Spargo C. (G),
06:52, Dattoli J. (Behind),
13:24, Papley T. (Behind),
15:37, Dattoli J. (G),
19:32, Hanily T. (G),
20:45, (Behind Rushed),
21:22, Cootee B. (G),
26:06, Curtis P. (G),
27:22, Curtis P. (Behind),
29:59, Simpkin J. (G),
2nd Quarter (34 - 15)
00:42, Dattoli J. (Behind),
01:22, Campbell B. (G),
02:33, Hanily T. (Behind),
03:49, Lloyd J. (G),
05:53, Papley T. (G),
07:29, Curnow C. (G),
10:08, McDonald L. (G),
11:52, (Behind Rushed),
14:54, Curnow C. (Behind),
16:35, (Behind Rushed),
19:59, McDonald L. (Behind),
22:20, Papley T. (Behind),
25:29, Banch Z. (G),
26:55, Darling J. (G),
3rd Quarter (14 - 19)
01:52, (Behind Rushed),
03:09, Cootee B. (G),
06:54, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
07:37, (Behind Rushed),
08:17, Lloyd J. (Behind),
09:22, Larkey N. (G),
11:00, Curnow C. (Behind),
13:21, Campbell B. (Behind),
14:57, Serong J. (Behind),
17:09, Zurhaar C. (G),
22:41, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
23:13, Dattoli J. (Behind),
24:49, Trembath C. (G),
4th Quarter (48 - 16)
01:33, Cootee B. (G),
03:56, Papley T. (Behind),
04:25, Gulden E. (Behind),
06:27, Campbell B. (G),
07:40, Curnow C. (Behind),
08:54, Kyle H. (G),
10:31, Zurhaar C. (G),
13:25, Curnow C. (Behind),
14:16, Curnow C. (G),
17:36, Curnow C. (G),
21:22, (Behind Rushed),
23:58, McDonald L. (G),
25:17, Hanily T. (Behind),
26:46, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
27:42, Banch Z. (Behind),
29:25, Larkey N. (Behind),
31:42, McDonald L. (G),
33:48, Xerri T. (G),
35:31, McDonald L. (Behind),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5.

Sydney is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

North Melbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sydney is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1820:1466. (average 91:73.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 661:513. (average 82.6:64.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Swans
AFL
16.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans	76:112 ✺
08.08.26	Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power	167:70 ✺
31.07.26	St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans	88:107 ✺
25.07.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Sydney Swans	88:139 ✺
17.07.26	Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows	71:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos
AFL
15.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	110:125 ✺
06.08.26	Western Bulldogs - North Melbourne Kangaroos	77:100 ✺
31.07.26	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	99:83 ✺
26.07.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints	62:93 ✺
18.07.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
08.05.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	97:105
19.07.25	Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos	84:53
05.04.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	52:117
12.07.24	Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos	138:59
19.05.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	90:93
06.08.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	88:126
09.04.22	Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos	86:75

Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide