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Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks 60.7%
Adelaide Crows 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
74.6%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawthorn Hawks's form might have worsened.
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:77
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (14 - 26)
00:16, Ah Chee C. (G),
04:13, Chol M. (Behind),
05:43, Hardwick B. (G),
09:12, Rankine I. (G),
10:39, Dawson J. (G),
15:11, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
18:38, Fogarty D. (Behind),
20:39, Rachele J. (G),
23:34, Hardwick B. (G),
29:06, Rachele J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (33 - 8)
02:27, McAndrew L. (G),
05:25, Watson N. (G),
08:32, Meek L. (G),
14:18, Lewis M. (G),
18:46, Rachele J. (Behind),
20:01, (Behind Rushed),
21:21, Watson N. (Behind),
22:33, Nash C. (Behind),
24:05, Watson N. (G),
28:06, Dawson J. (Behind),
30:13, Moore D. (G),
3rd Quarter (16 - 9)
01:36, (Behind Rushed),
02:49, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
03:31, (Behind Rushed),
07:48, Hardwick B. (G),
10:28, (Behind Rushed),
13:17, (Behind Rushed),
20:36, Hardwick B. (Behind),
23:08, Chol M. (G),
24:53, Taylor Z. (G),
28:37, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (12 - 23)
03:58, Fogarty D. (G),
05:27, Soligo J. (G),
06:43, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
09:42, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
10:15, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
11:00, (Behind Rushed),
13:57, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
20:29, Reeves N. (Behind),
21:34, Ah Chee C. (G),
23:04, Hardwick B. (Behind),
26:04, Berry S. (Behind),
27:49, Fogarty D. (Behind),
29:10, Hardwick B. (G),
30:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
31:45, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 4.
Hawthorn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Adelaide is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hawthorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1872:1566. (average 93.6:78.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 987:846. (average 89.7:76.9).
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