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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 54.5%
Draw 1.8%
Adelaide Crows 43.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.5%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:88
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (15 - 56)
02:08, Weightman C. (Behind),
07:30, Thiltorpe R. (G),
10:10, Dawson J. (G),
12:07, Dawson J. (G),
15:02, Thiltorpe R. (G),
16:17, Jones A. (G),
18:12, Rachele J. (G),
19:30, Rachele J. (G),
21:38, Pedlar L. (G),
23:25, Freijah J. (Behind),
24:30, (Behind Rushed),
24:59, Dawson J. (G),
26:58, Naughton A. (Behind),
29:16, Thiltorpe R. (G),
32:03, (Behind Rushed),
34:07, Freijah J. (G),
2nd Quarter (20 - 19)
01:45, Jones A. (G),
04:53, Fogarty D. (G),
07:15, Hynes C. (G),
08:30, Richards E. (G),
09:49, Pedlar L. (G),
11:37, Murray T. (Behind),
25:34, Bramble L. (Behind),
26:30, Naughton A. (Behind),
28:10, Keays B. (G),
3rd Quarter (20 - 25)
00:32, Rachele J. (G),
04:13, West R. (G),
06:23, Taylor Z. (G),
10:33, Naughton A. (G),
13:12, Sanders R. (Behind),
16:07, (Behind Rushed),
17:10, Kennedy M. (Behind),
20:43, Weightman C. (G),
24:05, Taylor Z. (G),
32:08, Murray T. (G),
4th Quarter (9 - 21)
03:00, Cook B. (G),
05:30, Milera W. (G),
07:48, Treloar A. (Behind),
11:19, Murray T. (Behind),
13:49, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
14:28, Croft J. (Behind),
14:59, Naughton A. (G),
20:01, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
20:42, (Behind Rushed),
23:55, Rachele J. (G),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Western won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1411:1346. (average 83:79.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1146:900. (average 104.2:81.8).