Match Info
AUSTRALIA: AFL - Round 20Date: 27 July 2024, SaturdayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Sport 1+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1 |
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St Kilda Saints |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.22 |
|
1.7 |
|
 |
2.14 |
|
1.62 |
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 |
2.18 |
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1.63 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
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1.62 |
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 |
2.18 |
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1.69 |
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 |
2.16 |
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1.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.1) |
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1.65 ↓
(1.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints
43% | Essendon Bombers
57% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Essendon Bombers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Essendon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:84 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (31 - 15)
- 01:27, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:38, Redman M. (Behind),
- 05:06, Owens M. (Behind),
- 06:58, Duursma X. (G),
- 09:09, Shiel D. (G),
- 10:35, Marshall R. (G),
- 12:35, Langford K. (Behind),
- 13:50, Caminiti A. (G),
- 18:03, Higgins J. (G),
- 22:27, Owens M. (G),
- 27:14, Membrey T. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 20)
- 08:17, Stringer J. (G),
- 10:24, Merrett Z. (G),
- 12:16, Jones H. (G),
- 13:50, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 20:12, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 21:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:34, Sharman C. (G),
- 28:46, Langford K. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (44 - 8)
- 02:35, Sharman C. (G),
- 03:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:55, Caminiti A. (G),
- 10:04, Steele J. (G),
- 11:49, Steele J. (G),
- 16:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:14, Sharman C. (G),
- 20:28, Butler D. (G),
- 22:19, Shiel D. (G),
- 24:31, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 29:43, Steele J. (G),
- 4th Quarter (20 - 12)
- 01:18, Membrey T. (G),
- 02:50, Caminiti A. (G),
- 05:07, Draper S. (G),
- 16:21, Durham S. (G),
- 18:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:14, Caminiti A. (Behind),
- 25:27, Higgins J. (G),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).Last 5 head-to-head matches St Kilda won 3. The game of competitors is shaky now. St Kilda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal. Our prediction for today's Essendon to win the game is with odds 1.64.
Last 17 head-to-head matches St Kilda won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1461-1375. Including matches at home between the teams St Kilda won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 636-637.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 30.03.24 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 71:67 | | 01.04.23 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 92:74 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 03.03.23 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 67:32 | | AFL | | | 17.06.22 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 72:107 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 05.03.22 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 71:82 | | AFL | | | 03.04.21 | Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints | 143:68 | | 16.08.20 | St Kilda Saints - Essendon Bombers | 68:33 |
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