The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans 66%
Adelaide Crows 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.1%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sydney Swans will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:82
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (20 - 41)
04:06, Warner C. (G),
06:05, Campbell B. (G),
08:50, Keays B. (Behind),
09:59, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
13:03, Rankine I. (G),
14:59, Soligo J. (Behind),
15:49, Fogarty D. (G),
17:24, Rachele J. (G),
19:30, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
20:53, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
24:27, McAndrew L. (G),
25:46, Papley T. (G),
28:41, McDonald L. (Behind),
29:45, (Behind Rushed),
31:52, Dawson J. (Behind),
33:05, Murray T. (G),
2nd Quarter (25 - 12)
01:17, McDonald L. (G),
06:11, Thiltorpe R. (G),
14:12, Cumming I. (G),
15:44, Warner C. (G),
19:35, Curnow C. (Behind),
20:10, Papley T. (G),
28:43, Papley T. (G),
3rd Quarter (17 - 3)
03:31, Curnow C. (Behind),
06:12, Campbell B. (Behind),
08:49, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
09:48, Gulden E. (Behind),
13:41, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
17:03, Rowbottom J. (G),
18:32, Rowbottom J. (G),
24:18, (Behind Rushed),
25:52, Berry S. (Behind),
27:48, Papley T. (Behind),
4th Quarter (9 - 31)
02:38, Fogarty D. (G),
05:32, Fogarty D. (G),
07:08, Papley T. (G),
14:08, (Behind Rushed),
15:14, Nankervis L. (G),
16:51, Fogarty D. (G),
24:10, (Behind Rushed),
27:29, Thiltorpe R. (G),
30:21, Papley T. (Behind),
31:39, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.
Sydney has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Adelaide is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1548:1281. (average 91.1:75.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 773:714. (average 85.9:79.3).
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