The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans 64.8%
Draw 1.5%
Western Bulldogs 33.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72.8%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.
Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sydney Swans - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:84
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (33 - 3)
01:29, McLean H. (G),
06:15, Curnow C. (G),
13:55, Lewis W. (Behind),
14:34, Warner C. (Behind),
15:37, Kennedy L. (Behind),
19:28, Curnow C. (G),
20:46, Cleary C. (Behind),
21:10, Warner C. (G),
22:43, Hamling J. (Behind),
29:55, Curnow C. (G),
32:49, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (20 - 23)
02:56, Curnow C. (G),
05:51, Jones A. (Behind),
07:07, Dale B. (G),
12:25, Dale B. (Behind),
12:59, Cleary C. (G),
16:28, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
18:08, Jones A. (G),
20:35, (Behind Rushed),
21:47, McLean H. (G),
28:48, Grundy B. (Behind),
29:48, Sanders R. (G),
31:22, Naughton A. (Behind),
33:16, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (17 - 20)
00:59, Curnow C. (Behind),
02:50, Weightman C. (Behind),
03:37, Naughton A. (G),
04:48, Jones A. (Behind),
08:05, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
13:37, (Behind Rushed),
17:59, (Behind Rushed),
18:36, Warner C. (Behind),
19:33, Heeney I. (G),
21:51, McLean H. (G),
24:34, Croft J. (G),
26:56, Croft J. (G),
4th Quarter (20 - 9)
01:05, Curnow C. (G),
07:06, Kennedy L. (Behind),
08:16, (Behind Rushed),
13:10, Curnow C. (G),
15:17, Jones A. (G),
19:14, (Behind Rushed),
21:48, Khamis B. (Behind),
22:49, Kennedy M. (Behind),
26:49, Hamling J. (G),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
In recent matches, Sydney has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Western is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1557:1409. (average 77.9:70.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 688:693. (average 68.8:69.3).
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