The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans 36.9%
Draw 3.6%
Fremantle Dockers 59.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
58.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Sydney Swans - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Fremantle will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 109:75
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (29 - 13)
00:24, Clark J. (Behind),
01:44, Erasmus N. (G),
03:13, Gulden E. (Behind),
05:10, Jackson L. (G),
06:18, Campbell B. (G),
09:31, Papley T. (G),
11:45, Papley T. (Behind),
14:57, McDonald L. (G),
17:02, McLean H. (Behind),
22:25, Hanily T. (G),
25:34, Dattoli J. (Behind),
26:20, Campbell B. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (19 - 16)
02:53, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
04:43, Serong C. (Behind),
05:52, (Behind Rushed),
06:53, McDonald L. (G),
10:01, Frederick M. (G),
12:35, Cleary C. (G),
13:50, Dudley I. (G),
20:24, McInerney J. (G),
23:20, Serong C. (Behind),
27:41, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (22 - 20)
01:33, Campbell B. (Behind),
02:30, Amiss J. (G),
03:41, Hanily T. (Behind),
07:23, Jackson L. (G),
08:41, Dudley I. (Behind),
09:22, Sheldrick A. (G),
11:03, McDonald L. (G),
15:21, Papley T. (Behind),
16:26, Curnow C. (G),
20:58, Curnow C. (Behind),
30:07, Voss P. (Behind),
32:06, Young H. (G),
4th Quarter (1 - 34)
02:06, Bolton S. (G),
03:53, Voss P. (G),
05:09, Voss P. (Behind),
06:39, (Behind Rushed),
12:04, Bolton S. (G),
15:11, Cox M. (G),
16:35, Frederick M. (Behind),
26:57, Dudley I. (G),
28:30, Papley T. (Behind),
29:36, Serong C. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
Sydney has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Fremantle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fremantle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Fremantle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 2.43.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1706:1368. (average 85.3:68.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 880:634. (average 97.8:70.4).
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