Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Peoria Stadium (Peoria, AZ)


	San Diego Padres		Kansas City Royals

	1	2
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	2.18
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.17	Watch
	1.73	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
54.7%

Kansas City Royals
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
9. Cronenworth J.	15. Thomas L.
5. Laureano R.	26. Misner K.
41. Andujar M.	12. Loftin N.
3. Merrill J.	40. Rojas J.
21. Castellanos N.	89. Tresh L.
4. France T.	75. Cross G.
30. Sheets G.	30. Kaiser C.
54. Fermin F.	98. Vazquez D.
0. Taylor S.	80. Dickerson D.
Pitchers
33. Marquez G.	50. Bubic K.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Quatraro M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.

San Diego has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kansas City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 111:100. (average 5.6:5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:43. (average 4.2:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Padres - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.12%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Los Angeles Angels - San Diego Padres	2:10 ✺
09.03.26	San Diego Padres - Texas Rangers	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds	14:3 ✺
07.03.26	Cleveland Guardians - San Diego Padres	7:1 ✺
06.03.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW
- Kansas City Royals
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	4:3 ✺
09.03.26	Kansas City Royals - Cleveland Guardians	2:6 ✺
08.03.26	Chicago White Sox - Kansas City Royals	5:4 ✺
07.03.26	Kansas City Royals - Cincinnati Reds	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Kansas City Royals	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
21.02.26	Kansas City Royals - San Diego Padres	3:10
MLB
22.06.25	San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals	3:2
21.06.25	San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals	5:1
20.06.25	San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals	5:6
MLB Spring Training
13.03.25	Kansas City Royals - San Diego Padres	6:5
02.03.25	San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals	4:10
MLB
02.06.24	Kansas City Royals - San Diego Padres	4:3

San Diego Padres - Kansas City Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide